Dan Hauser's Warning: AI Could "Devour Itself," Leading Humanity to an Uncertain Future
Dan Houser's View on Artificial Intelligence: The Specter of Model Collapse
Dan Houser, one of the founders of the famous Rockstar Games company, known for his discretion and avoidance of the spotlight, has reappeared on a British radio station. In his discussion of his new book, Houser inevitably touched upon the topic of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and its potential impact on human work and creativity. It was clear that Houser does not hold the same optimistic view expressed by many executives in major companies.
Dan Houser's Pessimism About the Promises of Artificial Intelligence
When asked if Artificial Intelligence would lead us to "bright horizons" as many "visionaries" in the technology field promise, Houser unequivocally replied: "I personally don't think so, because I believe Artificial Intelligence will eventually consume itself. From my superficial understanding, models rely on collecting information from the internet, but the internet will increasingly be filled with information produced by these very models. It's similar to what happened when we fed cows to cows, which led to mad cow disease."
This comparison is a strong analogy for the phenomenon of "model collapse" in Artificial Intelligence, which is one of its most prominent current challenges. "Model Collapse" refers to the degradation of the performance of generative AI models when they are repeatedly trained on data generated by other AI models. This process leads to a loss of diversity and quality in the data, causing new models to produce more homogeneous, less accurate, and possibly illogical outputs over time, losing their connection to real-world data (Scientific American, 2024; Science Media Centre, 2024; Nature, 2024). This degradation in data quality is very similar to what Houser mentioned about "mad cow disease" that occurred as a result of feeding cows products from other cows, which led to serious health problems.
Houser does not mean that generative Artificial Intelligence will completely disappear in a few years, but rather he believes it "will do some tasks brilliantly, but it won't do all tasks brilliantly."
Houser's Critique of AI Enthusiasts
Houser was more scathing in his assessment of enthusiastic executives who promote Artificial Intelligence as if it were "the second coming." Houser told Virgin Radio that "humanity is being driven in a certain direction by a group of people who may not be fully mature humans." He added: "Some of these people who are trying to define the future of humanity or creativity or anything else using Artificial Intelligence are no more human or creative. It's as if they are saying: 'We are better than you at being human.' And that, of course, is not true."
Growing Doubts About the "AI Bubble"
Houser had previously expressed his skepticism about Artificial Intelligence during his current media tour, but it's truly encouraging to hear someone of the stature of "a Rockstar founder" point out that "the emperor has no clothes" here, especially as many high-ranking and high-salaried individuals are still promoting this technology. But perhaps this situation won't last either: more and more people – even those well-paid – seem unable to mention the term Artificial Intelligence without referring to the "bubble" in the same context.
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